F11. Trading the Ascending Triangle: Understanding and Strategy

In this article, we will explore the concept of the ascending triangle, a widely recognized continuation pattern in the world of trading. The ascending triangle is often referred to as the “rising triangle” and is a pattern that traders observe to anticipate the market’s continuation in the direction of the larger trend. This article will take you through the process of defining an ascending triangle, identifying this pattern on forex charts, and providing insights into how to trade it. Additionally, we will also look at the advantages and limitations of using the ascending triangle as a trading strategy.

What Is An Ascending Triangle?

The ascending triangle is a bullish pattern that occurs mid-trend and signals the continuation of the existing trend. It is defined by a rising lower trendline and a horizontal upper trendline that acts as a support level. The pattern suggests that buyers are more dominant than sellers, as price continues to make higher lows. The completion of the pattern is marked by a break above the upper trendline, indicating the start of a new uptrend.

The Position of the Ascending Triangle Determines Trend Reversal or Continuation

The appearance of an ascending triangle in a forex chart can either signal a reversal or continuation of the larger trend, depending on its location. When it appears at the bottom of a downtrend, it suggests that the downward momentum is starting to wane and a potential change in direction is on the horizon. Hence, the placement of the pattern is of utmost significance.

Identifying an Ascending Triangle Pattern on Forex Charts

Traders can easily recognize an ascending triangle pattern on forex charts when they know what to look for. To identify the pattern, traders should pay attention to the following elements:

  1. Uptrend: The market should be in an uptrend before the ascending triangle appears. This is crucial and emphasizes that traders should not blindly trade the pattern without considering the broader market context.

  2. Consolidation: The ascending triangle takes shape as the market enters a consolidation phase.

  3. Rising lower trendline: As the market consolidates, a rising trendline can be drawn by connecting the lows. This shows that buyers are slowly pushing up the price, providing further support for a bullish trading bias.

  4. Flat upper trendline: The upper trendline acts as resistance, with price often bouncing off this level until a breakout eventually occurs.

  5. Trend continuation: After price posts a strong break above the upper trendline, traders look for confirmation of the pattern through continued upward momentum.

The Measuring Technique for the Ascending Triangle

Trading the ascending triangle requires a reliable method of determining target levels. Traders can use a measuring technique to estimate potential take profit levels.

Step 1: Measure the Distance Measure the distance from the start of the pattern at the lowest point of the rising trendline to the flat support line.

Step 2: Transpose the Distance Transpose that same distance from the breakout point, starting from C to the potential take profit level, ending at D.

By using this technique, traders can gain insight into potential target levels for their trades based on the characteristics of the ascending triangle.

Trading the Ascending Triangle: Key Steps

To trade the ascending triangle, you need to first identify an uptrend in the market, as shown in the USD/CAD chart. Once you see the market start to consolidate, you know that the ascending triangle pattern is forming. You can then apply the measuring technique to anticipate the potential breakout.

Here’s how to trade the ascending triangle:

  1. Look for an uptrend in the market
  2. Observe the market consolidation that forms the ascending triangle pattern
  3. Apply the measuring technique to determine potential take profit targets
  4. Enter a long position when you see a strong break above resistance
  5. Set a stop at the recent swing low and take profit target in line with the measuring technique.

Advantages And Limitations Of The Ascending Triangle

The ascending triangle pattern can be a valuable tool for analyzing
potential trend continuation, but it’s also important to recognize its
limitations.

Advantages of Ascending Triangle:

    • Easy pattern to identify
    • Clear target level based on the max height of the triangle
    • Intermediate-term pattern with option to trade within triangle while filtering trades in the trend direction

Limitations of Ascending Triangle:

    • False breakouts are possible
    • Risk of price moving sideways or lower for an extended period
    • Need to manage risk accordingly